🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation: Supply Chain Profit
Simulate 5,000 scenarios to understand profit distribution under demand & cost uncertainty
📦 Product Parameters
Mean Demand (units)
1000
Demand Std Dev (units)
200
Selling Price ($)
50
Mean Unit Cost ($)
30
Cost Std Dev ($)
5
Fixed Costs ($K)
10
Supply Disruption Probability (%)
5
Disruption Cost Multiplier
1.5
x
🔄 Re-Run Simulation (5,000 scenarios)
📊 Profit Distribution
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Mean Profit
-
5th Percentile (Worst)
-
95th Percentile (Best)
-
P(Loss)
-
CVaR 5% (Avg Worst)
-
Disruptions Hit
🔥 Tornado: Sensitivity Analysis
📈 Cumulative Probability